How do you tell if a stock is outperforming the market?
What is a stock outperformer? A stock is an "outperformer" when its returns are better than the benchmark return that it is being compared to. Typically, a benchmark is a broad based index but can also be a sector index or group of similar companies. We use the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as our benchmark.
“To find stocks that are most likely to outperform, the key is to combine high quality with attractive price,” says Morningstar equity strategist Allen Good. “An economic moat in itself won't result in outperformance.”
Company | Performance (Year) |
---|---|
GE Aerospace (GE) | 101.57% |
Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) | 100.64% |
Western Digital Corp. (WDC) | 97.83% |
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) | 91.68% |
By analyzing several time frames, we can pick the hottest sectors that are not just performing well right now but have been showing strength over a longer period. The time frames that investors choose will depend on their investment time horizon. Next, we choose the sector that is one of the top-performing sectors.
Price-to-earnings ratio (P/E): Calculated by dividing the current price of a stock by its EPS, the P/E ratio is a commonly quoted measure of stock value. In a nutshell, P/E tells you how much investors are paying for a dollar of a company's earnings.
- Look for companies with a competitive advantage. ...
- Watch for key market trends. ...
- Monitor volume and price. ...
- Identify companies with strong fundamentals. ...
- Track a stock's relative strength. ...
- Keep an eye out for catalysts. ...
- Exit at your target price.
Price to Earnings Ratio
PE Ratio is one of the metrics used to identify undervalued stocks. The PE ratio compares the current market value of a stock with its earnings per share. Typically, undervalued stocks will have a low PE ratio. Remember that the standard PE ratio differs from industry to industry.
Stock | 2024 return through March 31 |
---|---|
Avidity Biosciences Inc. (RNA) | 182% |
Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. (ARQT) | 206.8% |
Janux Therapeutics Inc. (JANX) | 250.9% |
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) | 254.1% |
- Coca-Cola. (NASDAQ: KO) ...
- Altria. (NASDAQ: MO) ...
- Amazon.com. (NASDAQ: AMZN) ...
- Celgene. (NASDAQ: CELG) ...
- Apple. (NASDAQ: AAPL) ...
- Alphabet. (NASDAQ:GOOG) ...
- Gilead Sciences. (NASDAQ: GILD) ...
- Microsoft. (NASDAQ: MSFT)
S.No. | Company | Industry/Sector |
---|---|---|
1. | Tata Consultancy Services Ltd | IT - Software |
2. | Infosys Ltd | IT - Software |
3. | Hindustan Unilever Ltd | FMCG |
4. | Reliance Industries Ltd | Refineries |
What sectors are still undervalued?
Meanwhile, large- and mid-cap growth stocks are 8% overvalued. By sector, industrials, technology, financial services, and consumer defensive stocks look most overvalued. The most undervalued sectors heading into the second quarter are real estate, utilities, and communication services.
Historically, the industries considered to be the most defensive and better placed to fare reasonably during recessions are utilities, health care, and consumer staples.
The DJIA, the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ indexes all are indicators of the current state of the stock markets. Other economic indicators measure the direction of the wider economy, such as gross domestic product and the consumer confidence index.
Typically, the average P/E ratio is around 20 to 25. Anything below that would be considered a good price-to-earnings ratio, whereas anything above that would be a worse P/E ratio. But it doesn't stop there, as different industries can have different average P/E ratios.
- Your investment thesis has changed. The reasons why you bought a stock may no longer apply. ...
- The company is being acquired. ...
- You need the money or soon will. ...
- You need to rebalance your portfolio. ...
- You identify opportunities to better invest your money elsewhere.
The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index, but that 10% average rate is reduced by inflation.
The more demand for a stock, the more money investors are willing to pay for it. If you are trying to predict a rebound, first you want to look for a sustained period of declining share price and a similar decline in volume. Then, just as trading volume tapers off, you want to look for a day — or an hour, or a minute!
Look for the exchange
While some penny stocks may be found on the major exchanges such as the Nasdaq and NYSE, they often do not meet their listing requirements. Instead they can be found on over-the-counter bulletin boards and pink sheets which generally involved increased risk and exposure to price manipulation.
Indicators such as Moving Averages, RSI and MACD can be used to measure the strength of the breakout. Volume: An important factor to identify a breakout is the trading volumes of the stock. It is essential that the volumes traded should be high on the day of the breakout.
Some traders consider stock to be undervalued if the earnings yield is higher than the average interest rate the US government pays when borrowing money (known as the treasury yield). Earnings yield example: ABC has EPS of $10 and the share price is $50. The earnings yield will be equal to 20% ($10/$50).
What are the best undervalued stocks to buy?
- ITC Ltd. ...
- Asian Paints Ltd. ...
- Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. ...
- Avenue Supermarts Ltd. ...
- Coal India Ltd. ...
- Varun Beverages Ltd. ...
- Eicher Motors Ltd. ...
- Bharat Electronics Ltd.
The idea is that when the market cap is higher than GDP, the stock market is overvalued. If the market cap is below the GDP, the stock market is undervalued.
S.No. | Name | ROCE % |
---|---|---|
2. | Insolation Ener | 19.64 |
3. | SG Mart | 14.52 |
4. | Waaree Renewab. | 83.80 |
5. | Veritas (India) | 4.59 |
S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
---|---|---|
2. | Motherson Wiring | 70.14 |
3. | I R C T C | 1011.80 |
4. | Lloyds Metals | 718.25 |
5. | Hindustan Zinc | 409.10 |
S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
---|---|---|
1. | Guj. Themis Bio. | 384.75 |
2. | Refex Industries | 141.30 |
3. | Tanla Platforms | 941.15 |
4. | M K Exim India | 76.69 |
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