Wealth Shocks and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Stock Market Fluctuations (2024)

Abstract

Do wealth shocks affect the health of elderly in developed countries? I exploit the booms and busts in the US stock market as a natural experiment that generated considerable gains and losses in the wealth of stock-holding retirees. Using data from the 1998–2011 Health and Retirement Study I construct wealth shocks as the interaction of stock holdings with stock market changes. These wealth shocks predict wealth changes and strongly affect health outcomes. A 10% wealth loss leads to an impairment of 2–3% of a standard deviation in physical health, mental health and survival rates.

Citation

Schwandt, Hannes.2018."Wealth Shocks and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Stock Market Fluctuations."American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10 (4): 349-77. DOI: 10.1257/app.20140499

Additional Materials

JEL Classification

  • D14Household Saving; Personal Finance
  • G11Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
  • G14Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
  • I12Health Behavior
  • J14Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
Wealth Shocks and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Stock Market Fluctuations (2024)

FAQs

What do you think the stock market tells us about the health of the economy? ›

The stock market is an indicator of sentiment in an economy that can have an impact on gross domestic product (GDP). When the stock market is doing well and growing, it indicates that companies are doing well and will continue to do so.

How do fluctuations in stock prices affect the economy? ›

How do fluctuations in stock prices affect the​ economy? Lower stock prices affect a​ firm's ability to raise funds for physical investment. Lower stock prices create uncertainty about future incomes and jobs. Lower stock prices typically lead to decreased spending by households and firms.

What is the wealth effect of an increase in stock market prices? ›

A 2021 paper in the American Economic Review found that an increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payrolls in nontradable industries. The result is that for every dollar of increased stock market wealth, consumer spending increases by 32 cents.

What is a wealth shock? ›

Experiencing a negative wealth shock, defined as a sudden loss of 75% or more in total wealth, was linked to cognitive decline among older adults in the United States and China, but not in England or Mexico, according to an NIA-funded study.

How can changes in the stock market help determine the overall health of the economy? ›

The Stock Market and Consumer Spending

A rising stock market is usually aligned with a growing economy and leads to greater investor confidence. Investor confidence in stocks leads to more buying activity which can also help to push prices higher.

Who benefits most from the stock market? ›

But the booming markets are likely to benefit White families more than families from other racial and ethnic groups. That's because White families are the most likely to own publicly traded stocks, either directly or indirectly – for example, through a retirement account or mutual fund.

Why is the stock market fluctuating so much? ›

The stock market can go up or down based on a number of different factors, including consumer confidence, worries about inflation, and supply and demand. As an investor, it's important to understand market fluctuation and how it works, and to know how much fluctuation is normal. Why do stocks fluctuate?

Why stock prices are fluctuating? ›

When does the stock market fluctuate? Like any other product, the price of shares hinges on supply and demand. Prices rise when the supply of shares for purchase is not enough to meet the demand of investors; they fall when fewer investors are interested in buying shares. Indices tell us how the stock market is faring.

What factors might contribute to the fluctuation of stock market prices? ›

In summary, the key fundamental factors are as follows:
  • The level of the earnings base (represented by measures such as EPS, cash flow per share, dividends per share)
  • The expected growth in the earnings base.
  • The discount rate, which is itself a function of inflation.
  • The perceived risk of the stock.

How did the stock market trend affect the wealth of Americans? ›

County-level data on U.S. stock market holdings suggest that rising share prices induce consumer spending, which raises employment and wages.

How do stocks increase your wealth? ›

The primary reason that investors own stock is to earn a return on their investment. That return generally comes in two possible ways: The stock's price appreciates, which means it goes up. You can then sell the stock for a profit if you'd like.

Does the stock market create wealth? ›

The stock market is also where companies raise capital and from which investors can grow their wealth. It thus plays a vital role in the global economy. Even if you don't trade on the stock market directly, it influences the products you buy, the type of jobs available, and the retirement you might plan.

Why sudden wealth is bad? ›

He found that unexpectedly acquiring significant wealth posed psychological and emotional challenges to some people, with adjustment issues leading to a crisis of identity, depression, insomnia, and anxiety.

Do millionaires feel rich? ›

Still, only 50% described themselves as “comfortable” and only a quarter said they felt “rich” or “very rich.” What do you think? Be the first to comment. Some of the respondents making upwards of $5 million were among those who said they felt broke, according to Bloomberg.

What do you think is the impact of the stock market on the US economy? ›

Keeping shareholders happy can force companies to adopt measures that affect the general public and the economy. The higher the shares are valued by the market, the more companies stand to make from a rights offering. Stock market crashes have led to economic recessions.

How is the health of the US economy? ›

How is the US economy doing? US gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.9% in 2022 and another 2.5% in 2023. Year-over-year inflation — the rate at which consumer prices increase — was 3.1% in January 2023. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates seven times in 2022 and four times in 2023.

What is a stock and why are they important to our economy? ›

A stock represents a share in the ownership of a company, including a claim on the company's earnings and assets. As such, stockholders are partial owners of the company. Fractional shares of stock also represent ownership of a company, but at a size smaller than a full share of common stock.

What are economic indicators and what do they tell us about the health of our economy? ›

Economic indicators include measures of macroeconomic performance (gross domestic product [GDP], consumption, investment, and international trade) and stability (central government budgets, prices, the money supply, and the balance of payments).

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