Population Losers (2024)

California's population dipped below 39 million as of July, according to the Census Bureau, after seeing its net domestic migration loss this year exceed last year's. Only New York has seen a greater loss as a percentage of population.

3 minute read

December 28, 2023, 8:00 AM PST

By Irvin Dawid

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A recent post noted the five Southern statesresponsible for 75 percent of the nation's population growth from July 1, 2022 to July 1, 2023 according to U.S. Census Bureau data released on December 19. What about the population losers?

“California was one of just eight states that lost population between 2022 and 2023, according to the Census Bureau,” reportsChristian Leonardfor the San Francisco Chronicle on Dec 21. “New York had by far the biggest percentage decline, losing about 102,000 people, or 0.5% of the population.”

In fact, New York's population loss last year was also the nation's highest. More on New York below.

California’s populationdipped by about 75,000 from 2022 to 2023, estimates released Tuesday by the Census Bureau shows, with about 38,965,000 million people in the state this year,” adds Leonard in the source article, “the lowest count since 2015.”

[Related:California Decline: Population Likely Peaked Three Years Ago,July 27, 2023]

Net domestic migration

The net outflow of residents, known as net domestic migration, or more specifically, negative net domestic migration, is staggering from the Golden State which has grown in population continuously since statehood in 1850 until 2020.

About 338,000 more people left California for other states than vice versa from July 2022 to July 2023, the Census Bureau data shows. That’s slightly greater than the 333,000 from 2021 to 2022, and the most of any state. Californiahistorically losesmore people to the rest of the country than it gains.

Empire State losses

“New York’s population decreased by 101,984 residents—the largest loss of any state—during the 12-month period that ended last July 1, according tojust-released Census Bureau estimates,” reportedE.J. McMahonfor the Empire Centeron December 19.

The Empire State’s population as of mid-2023 was pegged at 19,571,216, a cumulative decline of 631,104 from the Census Bureau’s updated April 2020 base count.

The 12-month trend for the period ending last July 1 was driven by a net outflow of 216,778 New Yorkers to the rest of the country — meaning 216,778 more people moved out of the Empire State than moved in from other states during the previous 12 months.

The six other losers

“Eleven states that lost population in 2022 are now seeing gains: New Jersey (30,024), Ohio (26,238), Minnesota (23,615), Massachusetts (18,659), Maryland (16,272), Michigan (3,980), Kansas (3,830), Rhode Island (2,120), New Mexico (895), Mississippi (762), and Alaska (130)," according to the Census Bureau.

The six other states that lost population in the year ending July 1, 2023:

  • Illinois (-32,826)
  • Louisiana (-14,274)
  • Pennsylvania (-10,408)
  • Oregon (-6,021)
  • Hawaii (-4,261)
  • West Virginia (-3,964)

Additional reading on California's staggering population loss:

FULL STORY: The California exodus continues. Chart shows how unusual the population drop was

Thursday, December 21, 2023 in San Francisco Chronicle

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FAQs

Which U.S. states are losing population? ›

State highlights

Eight states continued to lose residents in 2023—New York (-0.52), Louisiana (-0.31%), Hawaii (-0.3%), Illinois (-0.26%), West Virginia (-0.22%), California (-0.19%), Oregon (-0.14%), and Pennsylvania (-0.08%)—and all did so at a slower pace than in the previous year.

How do you solve population loss? ›

CHALLENGING CULTURAL NORMS. Challenging cultural norms about what it means to be a parent may also offer solutions for young families. A more equal sharing between women and men of income-earning, household, and childcare responsibilities could encourage more young people to start families.

Are we facing a population collapse? ›

According to the most authoritative population projections, calculated every few years by the United Nations Population Division, we will likely pass the 9 billion milestone in 2037, and peak around 10.4 billion in the 2080s. The UN does not foresee any significant population decline for the remainder of the century.

Is the US population declining? ›

In 2024, the United States continues to face significant demographic challenges. Propelled by falling birth rates, the U.S. population is rapidly aging and steadily declining. In turn, the country is experiencing economic and social pressures caused by labor shortages.

What is the fastest declining city in the United States? ›

Philadelphia City, Pennsylvania

According to the above methodology, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania is the fastest declining large city in the US. Philadelphia suffered from the pandemic just like every other American city. It managed to reverse the pandemic's effects on the job market by the third quarter of 2022.

What's the fastest growing state in the United States? ›

Texas experienced the largest numeric change in the nation, adding 473,453 people, followed by Florida, which added 365,205 residents. South Carolina and Florida were the two fastest-growing states in the nation, growing by 1.7% and 1.6%, respectively, in 2023.

Is underpopulation a problem? ›

In fact, before long, we will have to start worrying about underpopulation, caused by rapidly falling birth rates. It turns out that this is bad news not only for humanity but also for the planet, because more humans means more available resources and less destructive impact on nature.

Is population decline a good thing? ›

Fundamentally, a reduced global population translates to lower demand for resources such as water, wood, and energy, ultimately alleviating pressures on ecosystems. When considering this, one could argue that global population decline is a positive trend.

What will the population be in 2050? ›

Our growing population

The world's population is expected to increase by nearly 2 billion persons in the next 30 years, from the current 8 billion to 9.7 billion in 2050 and could peak at nearly 10.4 billion in the mid-2080s.

How many people can Earth support? ›

On October 18, 2023, the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (2023) broadcast a Yes-or-No debate on the statement: “The population of humans that can be supported sustainably on the planet at a reasonable standard of living is below 4 billion.” Here is an abridged version of Joel E.

What year will world population peak? ›

The population projection data we used to create this graphic is listed in the table below. Note that UN projections are as of 2022, IHME are as of 2020, and IIASA are as of 2014. From this data we can see that the UN expects the world to hit peak population in 2086, as well as maintain above 10 billion people in 2100.

Is the world birth rate falling? ›

From 2050 to 2100, the total global fertility rate is set to fall further from 1.83 to 1.59. The replacement rate — or number of children a couple would need to have to replace themselves — is 2.1 in most developed countries.

Is the US getting older? ›

The U.S. population is aging faster than ever. One hundred years ago, one out of every 20 Americans were senior citizens; by fifty years ago, this share had doubled. New U.S. Census projections estimate this share will soon double once again to one out of every five Americans.

What population is declining the fastest? ›

In the Cook Islands in 2023, the population decreased by about 2.31 percent compared to the previous year, making it the country with the highest population decline rate in 2023.

Are any US states losing population? ›

According to a December release by the Census Bureau, California, Illinois and New York—along with West Virginia, Louisiana, Pennsylvania, Hawaii and Oregon — lost population in 2023 compared to 2022. Throughout the new Census first released in 2020, all three states have shown continuously sinking population numbers.

Which state has the highest population leaving? ›

New York and California were the top two states that had the highest number of people moving out as a share of their total number of movers.

What U.S. state has the lowest population? ›

Wyoming is ranked the lowest in the population, with only 576,851 residents.

What states are losing black population? ›

For the first time in decades, California's Black population decreased, from 2.2 million people in 2000 to 2.1 million now. Also Black Californians have moved away from urban centers to places like the Inland Empire and Sacramento.

Which state has the lowest population growth rate? ›

Nagaland recorded the lowest growth rate of -0.5 percent. India has 641,000 inhabited villages and 72.2 percent of the total population reside in these rural areas.

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